tariffs, Inflation and Treasury Yields Rise
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Inflation, tariff and consumer price index
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Egg prices cooled significantly in June, deviating from an overall rise in prices. The price of eggs climbed 27% over the year ending in June, which marked a slowdown from 41% year-over-year growth in May. Under Trump, inflation has defied doomsday predictions and helped to propel sturdy economic performance.
17hon MSN
Inflation in June showed scattered signs of rising costs tied to the Trump tariffs, but Americans simply aren’t paying sharply higher prices because of U.S. trade wars. Here are four things we learned from the latest consumer-price index report.
It's a trove of information for portfolio managers and macro-watchers to gauge, and trade policy news headlines are likely to continue breaking. On July 9, President Trump announced a surprise 50% levy on copper imports, followed by a steep 50% duty on Brazil. 1 Together, it put the materials sector in focus.
Both the S&P 500 (.SPX) and Nasdaq (.IXIC) - and by extension, MSCI's world equities index (.MIWD00000PUS) - retreated from record peaks after traders shaved back bets of U.S. rate cuts this year as prices rose for things such as coffee and couches, while staying steady for tariff-exempted (for now) items such as cars.
The U.S. economy has defied dire predictions so far this year. Many economists see growth slowing – and tariff-driven inflation – but not a recession.
With the Federal Reserve watching inflation closely, Tuesday's June Consumer Price Index is expected to show some impact from tariffs, with more showing up later in the year. The consensus is for core CPI to rise 3.
Indonesia also has agreed to purchase billions in U.S. energy, agriculture products and airplanes, Trump said July 15 in a social media post.